Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 73.134896 82.292620 91.656709 101.916111 112.809381 124.001529 136.340825
2025-07-27 58.387826 71.478854 85.476237 101.425352 118.970597 137.570162 158.667217
2025-08-03 49.110137 64.243133 80.984561 100.609163 122.732209 146.675953 174.332671
2025-08-10 42.815038 59.456488 78.425869 101.199546 127.387991 156.199127 189.946372
2025-08-17 37.053600 54.611273 75.216054 100.512369 130.131374 163.191913 202.388735
2025-08-24 32.737919 51.049826 73.126611 100.776816 133.663524 170.825989 215.334107
2025-08-31 28.429538 47.075241 70.193531 99.735311 135.415559 176.213926 225.545928
2025-09-07 25.763867 44.965602 69.351976 101.037481 139.786052 184.511461 238.999185
2025-09-14 23.567858 43.274492 68.876761 102.654974 144.428101 193.048363 252.671950
2025-09-21 20.660875 40.337961 66.597549 101.856924 146.014621 197.887307 261.959267
2025-09-28 17.590804 36.875866 63.404567 99.714858 145.804067 200.473252 268.505631
2025-10-05 16.894122 36.861475 64.791043 103.413266 152.784814 211.642934 285.170079
2025-10-12 15.671982 35.964877 64.942866 105.516859 157.823629 220.553811 299.272809
2025-10-19 13.761549 33.808391 63.226963 105.081516 159.617750 225.509743 308.659578
2025-10-26 11.936227 31.592965 61.288350 104.238041 160.807418 229.664333 317.036215
2025-11-02 10.690276 30.223272 60.477929 104.842283 163.793521 235.981914 327.987935
2025-11-09 9.239555 28.322321 58.772973 104.140638 165.033655 240.104815 336.258897
2025-11-16 8.164443 26.979533 57.819614 104.410598 167.487258 245.697375 346.289751
2025-11-23 6.912848 25.123685 55.970878 103.347504 168.135864 249.000663 353.503704
2025-11-30 6.265456 24.401662 55.841849 104.676643 171.912200 256.201314 365.473111
2025-12-07 5.733698 23.855734 55.955197 106.327429 176.101954 263.917345 378.078608
2025-12-14 4.823341 22.329289 54.398715 105.512981 176.961426 267.407502 385.473242
2025-12-21 3.811149 20.347066 51.964385 103.326628 175.908376 268.424166 389.777299